Wednesday, September 20, 2006

new polls

2006 Senate RealClearPolitics Poll Averages
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Arizona Connecticut Maryland Michigan Minnesota Missouri Montana New Jersey Ohio Pennsylvania Rhode Island Tennessee Virginia Washington
Arizona Senate Race: Jon Kyl (R) vs. Jim Pederson (D)
Poll
Date
Sample
Kyl (R)
Pederson (D)
Spread
RCP Average
07/14 to 09/18
-
49.0%
39.5%
Kyl +9.5%
Rasmussen
09/18 - 09/18
500 LV
50%
39%
Kyl +11%
SurveyUSA
09/16 - 09/18
472 LV
48%
43%
Kyl +5%
Ariz. State
08/24 - 08/29
846 RV
46%
36%
Kyl +10%
SurveyUSA
07/14 - 07/16
531 RV
52%
40%
Kyl +12%
Arizona Senate Race: All Polls RCP Analysis Demographics Past Election Results
Connecticut Senate Race: Lieberman (I) vs. Lamont (D)
Poll
Date
Sample
Lieberman (I)
Lamont (D)
Spread
RCP Average
08/10 to 09/14
-
48.3%
41.0%
Lieberman +7.3%
Rasmussen
09/13 - 09/14
550 LV
45%
43%
Lieberman +2%
SurveyUSA
09/09 - 09/11
572 LV
51%
38%
Lieberman +13%
American Res. Group
08/17 - 08/21
790 LV
44%
42%
Lieberman +2%
Quinnipiac
08/10 - 08/14
1083 LV
53%
41%
Lieberman +12%
Connecticut Senate Race: All Polls RCP Analysis Demographics Past Election Results
Maryland Senate Race: Michael Steele vs. Ben Cardin
Poll
Date
Sample
Steele (R)
Cardin (D)
Spread
RCP Average
08/18 to 09/13
-
40.7%
47.7%
Cardin +7.0%
Rasmussen
09/13 - 09/13
500 LV
43%
50%
Cardin +7%
Zogby Interactive*
08/29 - 09/05
n/a
40%
49%
Cardin +9%
Gonzales Res.
08/18 - 08/25
625 LV
39%
44%
Cardin +5%
Maryland Senate Race: All Polls RCP Analysis Demographics Past Election Results
Michigan Senate Race: Mike Bouchard (R) vs. Debbie Stabenow (D)
Poll
Date
Sample
Bouchard (R)
Stabenow (D)
Spread
RCP Average
08/28 to 09/17
-
38.8%
52.0%
Stabenow +13.2%
SurveyUSA
09/15 - 09/17
749 LV
41%
54%
Stabenow +13%
Detroit News
09/07 - 09/12
608 LV
34%
53%
Stabenow +19%
Rasmussen
08/31 - 08/31
500 LV
43%
51%
Stabenow +8%
Detroit Free Press
08/28 - 08/30
803 LV
37%
50%
Stabenow +13%
Michigan Senate Race: All Polls RCP Analysis Demographics Past Election Results
Minnesota Senate Race: Mark Kennedy (R) vs. Amy Klobuchar (D)
Poll
Date
Sample
Kennedy (R)
Klobuchar (D)
Spread
RCP Average
08/23 to 09/15
-
37.3%
51.0%
Klobuchar +13.7%
Star Tribune
09/13 - 09/15
820 LV
32%
56%
Klobuchar +24%
Rasmussen
08/28 - 08/28
500 LV
40%
47%
Klobuchar +7%
USA Today/Gallup
08/23 - 08/27
790 LV
40%
50%
Klobuchar +10%
Minnesota Senate Race: All Polls RCP Analysis Demographics Past Election Results
Missouri Senate Race: Jim Talent (R) vs. Claire McCaskill (D)
Poll
Date
Sample
Talent (R)
McCaskill (D)
Spread
RCP Average
08/23 to 09/13
-
46.3%
46.0%
Talent +0.3%
SurveyUSA
09/11 - 09/13
468 LV
47%
48%
McCaskill +1%
Rasmussen
09/11 - 09/11
500 LV
42%
45%
McCaskill +3%
Research 2000
08/28 - 08/31
800 LV
46%
47%
McCaskill +1%
USA Today/Gallup
08/23 - 08/27
574 LV
50%
44%
Talent +6%
Missouri Senate Race: All Polls RCP Analysis Demographics Past Election Results
Montana Senate Race: Conrad Burns (R) vs. Jon Tester (D)
Poll
Date
Sample
Burns (R)
Tester (D)
Spread
RCP Average
08/08 to 09/12
-
41.7%
48.0%
Tester +6.3%
Rasmussen
09/12 - 09/12
500 LV
43%
52%
Tester +9%
USA Today/Gallup
08/23 - 08/27
641 LV
45%
48%
Tester +3%
Lake Research (D)
08/08 - 08/10
600 LV
37%
44%
Tester +7%
Montana Senate Race: All Polls RCP Analysis Demographics Past Election Results
New Jersey Senate Race: Thomas Kean, Jr. (R) vs. Robert Menendez (D)
Poll
Date
Sample
Kean (R)
Menendez (D)
Spread
RCP Average
08/21 to 09/18
-
45.0%
41.0%
Kean +4.0%
Quinnipiac
09/13 - 09/18
688 LV
48%
45%
Kean +3%
Rasmussen
08/28 - 08/28
500 LV
44%
39%
Kean +5%
Fairleigh Dickinson
08/21 - 08/27
651 RV
43%
39%
Kean +4%
New Jersey Senate Race: All Polls RCP Analysis Demographics Past Election Results
Ohio Senate Race: Mike DeWine (R) vs. Sherrod Brown (D)
Poll
Date
Sample
DeWine (R)
Brown (D)
Spread
RCP Average
08/23 to 09/17
-
41.7%
46.0%
Brown +4.3%
Quinnipiac
09/11 - 09/17
876 LV
44%
45%
Brown +1%
Rasmussen
09/13 - 09/13
500 LV
41%
47%
Brown +6%
USA Today/Gallup
08/23 - 08/27
584 LV
40%
46%
Brown +6%
Ohio Senate Race: All Polls RCP Analysis Demographics Past Election Results
Pennsylvania Senate Race: Rick Santorum (R) vs. Bob Casey (D)
Poll
Date
Sample
Santorum (R)
Casey (D)
Spread
RCP Average
07/31 to 08/27
-
39.6%
48.2%
Casey +8.6%
USA Today/Gallup
08/23 - 08/27
600 LV
38%
56%
Casey +18%
Rasmussen
08/22 - 08/22
500 LV
40%
48%
Casey +8%
Keystone Poll
08/16 - 08/21
551 RV
39%
44%
Casey +5%
Quinnipiac
08/08 - 08/13
1011 LV
42%
48%
Casey +6%
Morning Call
07/31 - 08/03
550 RV
39%
45%
Casey +6%
Pennsylvania Senate Race: All Polls RCP Analysis Demographics Past Election Results
Rhode Island Senate Race: Lincoln Chafee (R) vs. Sheldon Whitehouse (D)
Poll
Date
Sample
Chafee (R)
Whitehouse (D)
Spread
RCP Average
08/16 to 09/18
-
41.7%
44.3%
Whitehouse +2.6%
Brown University
09/16 - 09/18
578 LV
39%
40%
Whitehouse +1%
Rasmussen
09/13 - 09/13
500 LV
43%
51%
Whitehouse +8%
Fleming
08/16 - 08/21
401 RV
43%
42%
Chafee +1%
Rhode Island Senate Race: All Polls RCP Analysis Demographics Past Election Results
Tennessee Senate Race: Bob Corker (R) vs. Harold Ford (D)
Poll
Date
Sample
Corker (R)
Ford (D)
Spread
RCP Average
08/29 to 09/11
-
45.0%
45.0%
Tie
SurveyUSA
09/09 - 09/11
638 LV
45%
48%
Ford +3%
Rasmussen
09/05 - 09/05
500 LV
45%
44%
Corker +1%
Zogby Interactive*
08/29 - 09/05
n/a
45%
43%
Corker +2%
Tennessee Senate Race: All Polls RCP Analysis Demographics Past Election Results
Virginia Senate Race: George Allen (R) vs. James Webb (D)
Poll
Date
Sample
Allen (R)
Webb (D)
Spread
RCP Average
09/05 to 09/12
-
48.0%
43.3%
Allen +4.7%
Rasmussen
09/12 - 09/12
500 LV
50%
43%
Allen +7%
SurveyUSA
09/10 - 09/12
467 LV
48%
45%
Allen +3%
Mason-Dixon
09/05 - 09/07
625 LV
46%
42%
Allen +4%
Virginia Senate Race: All Polls RCP Analysis Demographics Past Election Results
Washington Senate Race: Mike McGavick (R) vs. Maria Cantwell (D)
Poll
Date
Sample
McGavick (R)
Cantwell (D)
Spread
RCP Average
08/25 to 09/06
-
38.0%
51.0%
Cantwell +13.0%
Rasmussen
09/06 - 09/06
500 LV
35%
52%
Cantwell +17%
SurveyUSA
08/28 - 08/29
669 RV
36%
53%
Cantwell +17%
Strategic Vision (R)
08/25 - 08/27
800 LV
43%
48%
Cantwell +5%
Washington Senate Race: All Polls RCP Analysis Demographics Past Election Results
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